View Full Version : New population figures give a boost to the GOP

12-28-2009, 07:03 AM
By: Chris Stirewalt
Political Editor
December 28, 2009

The 2010 census is sure to be controversial.

Republicans will thunder about the community organizers who get hired to do the counting, and Democrats will wail that the homeless and migrant workers are undercounted.

But in the final pre-count estimate just released by the Census Bureau, we already have a broad idea of where the results are headed and what they will mean politically.

The numbers are cause for alarm for Democrats.

Of the states gaining House seats -- Texas (three) and Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah and Washington -- only Washington is reliably Democratic, having last voted for a Republican presidential candidate in 1984.

Of the states losing seats and electors -- Ohio (two), Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania -- only Louisiana is reliably Republican. And the fact that there are 170,000 fewer residents of New Orleans than before Hurricane Katrina has made the state even more reliably red.

But the real shocker is California. After a consistently large gains in the second half of the 20th century, California is on track for only 9 percent growth in the first decade of the 21st. Compare that to 14 percent growth in the '90s, 26 percent growth in the '80s, 19 percent in the '70s and 27 percent in the '60s.

The nonpartisan Election Data Services projects that for only the second time in the state's history, 1920 being the other, the state will not gain a seat in Congress after a census.


12-28-2009, 07:10 AM
“Few Democrats understand the depth and intensity of opposition that exists toward them and their agenda, especially regarding health care. Passage of this bill will only heighten the depth and intensity of the opposition. We’re seeing a political tsunami in the making, and passage of health-care legislation would only add to its size and force.“
–Peter Wehner, The Health-Care Backlash

Congressional Democrats are an agile, nimble group: they’re patting each other on the back as they whistle past an 2010 electoral graveyard of their own making.

Presidential advisers have been making the rounds, as has the President, talking about the “bounce” the perpetrators of their health care bill will receive. They are right: a great many of them will get a “bounce”.

But, it will not be the “bounce” they are expecting: it will be a bounce from their high-paying, pontificating, sneer-at-the-constituent jobs they hold now.

President Obama got his first bounce in the polls in Rasmussen’s first daily tracking numbers since the 60th vote for health care was secured: he hit a new low at -21. There will bigger such “bounces” to come.

2010 will be an electoral tsunami. The now-voiceless American electorate will finally speak to those who didn’t heed the concerns voiced in countless emails, phone calls, faxes and town halls.

Though the health care “reform” bill passed the Senate cloture on a strictly party-line vote, the result of this bill will be universal bipartisanship at the polls in 2010. There is a true sense of anger, frustration and contempt that cuts across political and, in some cases, ideological, lines.

Rarely, except in wartime, has the Democrat, Republican and Independent electorate been so united. Nothing will unite a free nation quite like the message of “I told you to shut up and take your medicine”.

Regardless of how this agenda has been sweetened with bribes to this state and that group, voters don’t like the taste of anything shoved down their throats.