View Full Version : The House in 2010: Five seats that could change parties

11-04-2009, 08:30 AM

Four days: Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin (R) makes a rare public appearance at a Wisconsin Right to Life event in Milwaukee.

11 days: Rep. Ron Paul (R-Tex.) makes a less-rare public appearance in Iowa, speaking to students at Iowa State University.

The House in 2010: Five seats that could change parties

Chris Cillizza
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, November 2, 2009

Let's talk about next November: The House playing field for 2010 continues to expand, as Republicans sense opportunity in the national landscape and Democrats look to stay on offense in some corners of the country in order to build a bulwark against a possible wave election.

The Cook Political Report lists 105 seats as potentially competitive, with the vast majority -- 78 -- controlled by Democrats. The Rothenberg Political Report is more skeptical of such a large playing field, but of the 48 seats it lists as competitive, Democrats hold 31.

Although Democrats have far more vulnerabilities, thanks in large part to their 50-plus seat gains in 2006 and 2008, they also have a handful of seats in which they are playing offense, including four of the five districts most likely to switch parties next November. Here's a detailed look at the quintet: