ARG: Paul at 2% in IA (up from 1%), & 3% in NH (up from 1%), 2% in SC (down 1 pt.)

[Bradley in DC]

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Republicans IA NH SC
Brownback 2% 1% 1%
Gingrich 5% 6% 7%
Giuliani 21% 20% 23%
Huckabee 4% 3% 1%
Hunter 2% 1% 1%
Keyes 1% 1% -
McCain 11% 20% 15%
Paul 2% 3% 2%
Romney 22% 24% 26%
Tancredo 1% 1% 1%
F Thompson 16% 8% 10%
Undecided 13% 12% 13%
Support for Mitt Romney has jumped in South Carolina while support for Fred Thompson has dropped. Romney leads Rudy Giuliani 30% to 19% among men in South Carolina while Giuliani leads among women at 27%, followed by Romney at 22% and John McCain at 21%.

[JosephTheLibertarian]

you would think a libertarian state would be for a libertarian candidate :rolleyes:

[Bradley in DC]

you would think a libertarian state would be for a libertarian candidate :rolleyes:

Not with our supporters acting like idiots flooding the media with irate messages. :p

[JosephTheLibertarian]

Not with our supporters acting like idiots flooding the media with irate messages. :p

are independents counted? dems? it's like 70% independent. and this is before the NH walk

[Bradley in DC]

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/

If you are a Mike Huckabee supporter, you are waking up to some bad news. ARG has Huckabee dropping 10 points in Iowa, 6 points in New Hampshire, and 8 points in South Carolina. So much for the boost from the Iowa straw poll / debate with Ron Paul. Things are no dismal for him, he just has to prove to voters once again that he is viable and that can be done by doing well in Iowa.

[Bradley in DC]

ARG - Iowa Polls

Likely Republican Caucus Goers Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07 Sep 07
Brownback 3% 1% - 2%
Gingrich 5% 4% 7% 5%
Giuliani 18% 22% 17% 21%
Huckabee 1% 1% 14% 4%
Hunter 1% 2% 1% 2%
Keyes ni ni ni 1%
McCain 13% 17% 5% 11%
Paul 1% 1% 1% 2%
Romney 25% 21% 27% 22%
Tancredo 1% 1% - 1%
F Thompson 14% 13% 13% 16%
T Thompson 3% 2% ni ni
Undecided 14% 15% 15% 13%

[Hook]

you would think a libertarian state would be for a libertarian candidate :rolleyes:

Not when most of the state has never heard of Dr. Paul.

[Bradley in DC]

ARG - New Hampshire Polls

Likely Republican Primary Voters Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07 Sep 07
Brownback 1% 1% 1% 1%
Gilmore - ni ni ni
Gingrich 4% 6% 4% 6%
Giuliani 19% 27% 23% 20%
Hagel - ni ni ni
Huckabee 1% 1% 9% 3%
Hunter 1% 1% - 1%
Keyes ni ni ni 1%
McCain 21% 10% 12% 20%
Pataki - ni ni ni
Paul 1% 1% 3% 3%
Romney 27% 26% 27% 24%
Tancredo 1% 1% - 1%
F Thompson 10% 13% 8% 8%
T Thompson - - ni ni
Undecided 14% 13% 13% 12%

[Bradley in DC]

ARG - South Carolina Polls

Likely Republicans Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07 Sep 07
Brownback 1% - 2% 1%
Gilmore 1% ni ni ni
Gingrich 6% 7% 6% 7%
Giuliani 22% 28% 26% 23%
Hagel - ni ni ni
Huckabee 3% 3% 9% 1%
Hunter 2% 1% - 1%
Keyes ni ni ni -
McCain 23% 10% 12% 15%
Pataki - ni ni ni
Paul - 3% 2% 2%
Romney 8% 7% 9% 26%
Tancredo 1% 1% 1% 1%
F Thompson 19% 27% 21% 10%
T Thompson - - ni ni
Undecided 14% 13% 12% 13%

[JosephTheLibertarian]

Not when most of the state has never heard of Dr. Paul.

lol I guess they shouldn't be answering these polls then

[Bradley in DC]

are independents counted? dems? it's like 70% independent. and this is before the NH walk

Dr. Paul does better with likely Republican primary voters than independents.
http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres08/nhrep8-710.html

New Hampshire
Likely Republican Primary Voters Republicans (68%) Independents (32%)
Brownback 1% -
Gingrich 6% 5%
Giuliani 19% 23%
Huckabee 4% 1%
Hunter 1% -
Keyes 1% -
McCain 21% 18%
Paul 3% 2%
Romney 22% 27%
Tancredo 1% 1%
F Thompson 8% 8%
Undecided 13% 15%


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (410 Republicans and 190 undeclared (independent) voters).

Sample Dates: September 26-29, 2007

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Alan Keyes, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary?

[stevedasbach]

Dr. Paul does better with likely Republican primary voters than independents.
http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres08/nhrep8-710.html


That's odd. Usually he does MUCH better with independents.

[RP4ME]

How accurate is this - numbers like these make me dubious about his cahnes to win a nom.....

Any comments on this

[Bradley in DC]

How accurate is this - numbers like these make me dubious about his cahnes to win a nom.....

Any comments on this

Read the post:

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

[Nathan Hale]

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Republicans IA NH SC
Brownback 2% 1% 1%
Gingrich 5% 6% 7%
Giuliani 21% 20% 23%
Huckabee 4% 3% 1%
Hunter 2% 1% 1%
Keyes 1% 1% -
McCain 11% 20% 15%
Paul 2% 3% 2%
Romney 22% 24% 26%
Tancredo 1% 1% 1%
F Thompson 16% 8% 10%
Undecided 13% 12% 13%
Support for Mitt Romney has jumped in South Carolina while support for Fred Thompson has dropped. Romney leads Rudy Giuliani 30% to 19% among men in South Carolina while Giuliani leads among women at 27%, followed by Romney at 22% and John McCain at 21%.

I just read an article wherein Gingrich says that he's definitely not running. Hopefully they'll keep him out of future polls now. The fields already crowded enough as-is.