View Full Version : Is Lawson Running or What?

07-20-2009, 11:52 AM
Hi All,

Has anyone heard whether Lawson will definitely make a run for congress again in NC? I haven't heard anything and am starting to wonder whats going on.

Brian Defferding
07-20-2009, 11:55 AM
I certainly hope he's running. I'll make a donation if and when he does.

07-20-2009, 11:57 AM
Maybe, or something.

I recall a thread announcing he was running a couple months ago, but then it just kind of became buried... Let me check my emails.

07-20-2009, 12:02 PM
Hm... I can't find anything. I guess it's still a toss-up? He's still active in writing blogs/mailers, apparently.

07-20-2009, 04:58 PM
http://projects.newsobserver.com/under_the_dome/republicans_line_up_against_price (http://projects.newsobserver.com/tags/b_j_lawson)

He hasn't announced it yet, but someone who knows him pointed me to that article.

07-20-2009, 05:24 PM
Thanks for that article. I didn't see it, but typically politicians are hounding all over the press and raising money hand over fist at this point if they are serious. I would personally love it if BJ ran again and would back him 100%.

07-20-2009, 05:55 PM
I hope he runs again, I think he'd be able to do much better this time around.

07-20-2009, 06:40 PM
One argument against running is that the district is heavily Democrat, and in jerrymandered one-party districts like that it's almost impossible for even a great candidate from the other party to pull off a victory. There will be redistricting after the 2010 census that could make it more favorable if he waits until 2012, whereas if he does run in 2010 and lose again he could start to get a reputation as a wannabe politician who serially runs and loses.

07-20-2009, 07:08 PM
His chances in 2010 have been discussed a lot.

4th district demographics: 71.0% White, 20.7% Black, 3.9% Asian, 5.0% Hispanic

I think he could pull it off because

- 2008 was heavily affected by the black vote coming out for Obama and was otherwise a big democratic year; 2010 probably will be a bigger republican year

- the district is heavily college-oriented, and he can play up the same war/patriot act/civil liberties/Afgan war stuff and that will do well there

- A lot of college age volunteers will be available

07-20-2009, 07:17 PM
We should try to get him to run for senate in 2010 against Richard Burr in the Republican primary. Burr is way down in the polls and only 29% want him reelected. 49% want him replaced: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_617.pdf