kenc9
09-08-2007, 10:56 AM
With Fred Thompson in the race, there are five contenders for the Republican nomination: Rudy, Fred, McCain, Romney, all pro-war, and Ron Paul. The rest are vanity candidates or are looking to be Vice-President (go figure).
What separates these five is that they are national candidates. Why not Huckabee, who is enjoying a boost from Iowa? Because he’s not a national candidate. If this man cannot project power into the neighboring state of Texas and has to "cut and run" and make a phony excuse that’s he busy, he’s not a national candidate. He cleverly focused his scarce resources in Iowa, an ideal state for his message. Lightning will not strike again for him.
I think it’s too early to write off McCain. He’s still in double digits nationally and he’s a tough old bird with a compelling personal story and lingering media support.
Why is Ron Paul a contender at only three percent? Polls tell us something real but not all that is real. Ron consistently surpasses that number in straw polls and online polls. Both measure a critical factor in the primaries and caucuses that "scientific" polls miss: intensity of support. He draws the largest crowds of any Republican. He is the only Republican candidate who generates actual enthusiasm. Much of the poll strength of the other four is based on name recognition and money. Their significance will fade over time as Ron’s name recognition and treasury grow and their treasuries empty.
Full Story... http://www.newsandpolicy.com/news/2007/09/ron-paul-is-in-the-position-to-score-the-biggest-u.html
What separates these five is that they are national candidates. Why not Huckabee, who is enjoying a boost from Iowa? Because he’s not a national candidate. If this man cannot project power into the neighboring state of Texas and has to "cut and run" and make a phony excuse that’s he busy, he’s not a national candidate. He cleverly focused his scarce resources in Iowa, an ideal state for his message. Lightning will not strike again for him.
I think it’s too early to write off McCain. He’s still in double digits nationally and he’s a tough old bird with a compelling personal story and lingering media support.
Why is Ron Paul a contender at only three percent? Polls tell us something real but not all that is real. Ron consistently surpasses that number in straw polls and online polls. Both measure a critical factor in the primaries and caucuses that "scientific" polls miss: intensity of support. He draws the largest crowds of any Republican. He is the only Republican candidate who generates actual enthusiasm. Much of the poll strength of the other four is based on name recognition and money. Their significance will fade over time as Ron’s name recognition and treasury grow and their treasuries empty.
Full Story... http://www.newsandpolicy.com/news/2007/09/ron-paul-is-in-the-position-to-score-the-biggest-u.html