JasonD
09-02-2007, 12:51 PM
These straw polls are nice in that they allow you to test the candidate’s message and if not received well, provide an opportunity to revise or hone it. I think this quote I pulled from an article referenced in another thread sums up the challenge for Dr. Paul:
Jane Atchley of Garland voted for Thompson. "I would have voted for Ron Paul, except Ron Paul is completely off the face of the Earth on the war."
So my question is how do we convince the pro-war base that their position is flawed? Moreover how do we do it when the party leadership is clearly pro-war and is willing to propagandize their members with pro-war sentiment right before a poll? You can be sure they will be doing this right before the primaries as well.
The other question is to what extent these straw polls accurately reflect the opinion of likely republican voters? (A scientific survey would be nice to know this.) If these straw polls are fairly representative then we need to do a better job on explaining the war issue and recruit more anti-war people into the party.
In addition to this we can hope the pro-war vote is heavily split to allow Dr. Paul to win congressional districts, and their corresponding delegates, with a plurality. The fact that the nomination is still up in the air and there are so many pro-war candidates is a huge advantage to us.
The other issue is even if we can’t convince the pro-war voters that their positions are flawed, can we convince them to vote for Dr. Paul anyway? This other quote from the same article offers what I consider a strong selling point for Dr. Paul:
Paul Attwood of Rowlett voted for Ron Paul. "He's the best representative of the conservatives and the only one who has a chance of beating Hillary."
Jane Atchley of Garland voted for Thompson. "I would have voted for Ron Paul, except Ron Paul is completely off the face of the Earth on the war."
So my question is how do we convince the pro-war base that their position is flawed? Moreover how do we do it when the party leadership is clearly pro-war and is willing to propagandize their members with pro-war sentiment right before a poll? You can be sure they will be doing this right before the primaries as well.
The other question is to what extent these straw polls accurately reflect the opinion of likely republican voters? (A scientific survey would be nice to know this.) If these straw polls are fairly representative then we need to do a better job on explaining the war issue and recruit more anti-war people into the party.
In addition to this we can hope the pro-war vote is heavily split to allow Dr. Paul to win congressional districts, and their corresponding delegates, with a plurality. The fact that the nomination is still up in the air and there are so many pro-war candidates is a huge advantage to us.
The other issue is even if we can’t convince the pro-war voters that their positions are flawed, can we convince them to vote for Dr. Paul anyway? This other quote from the same article offers what I consider a strong selling point for Dr. Paul:
Paul Attwood of Rowlett voted for Ron Paul. "He's the best representative of the conservatives and the only one who has a chance of beating Hillary."