Bradley in DC
04-30-2008, 03:16 PM
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/04/30/monmouth_poll_new_jersey_likely_to_stay_blue.html
Monmouth Poll: New Jersey Likely to Stay Blue
While several previous polls suggested Sen. John McCain might make New Jersey competitive this fall, a new Monmouth University poll shows Sen. Barack Obama beating McCain, 56% to 32%, and Sen. Hillary Clinton winning, 52% to 38%.
Meanwhile, "all signs point to Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ) being in a strong position for re-election in both the primary and general elections."
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP16_1.pdf
1
The Senate Race
Despite New Jersey voters’ stated preference for a change of face, all signs point to Frank
Lautenberg being in a strong position for re-election in both the primary and general elections.
Overall, 48% of registered voters in the Garden State approve of the job Frank
Lautenberg is doing in the United States Senate, another 31% disapprove and 21% have no
opinion. Democrats approve of his job performance by a 59% to 19% margin, and independents
give him an advantage at 49% approve to 32% disapprove. Republicans are largely negative –
24% approve to 54% disapprove.
Senator Lautenberg tends to be viewed more favorably (43%) than unfavorably (30%) by
New Jersey voters, with 21% offering no opinion. This increases to a 55% to 19% favorability
advantage among Democratic voters. His main primary opponent, Congressman Rob Andrews,
has a 13% to 15% favorability rating among New Jersey Democrats, with 16% offering no
opinion. . .
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Do not recognize
Among Republican voters
Dick Zimmer 14% 8% 24% 54%
Joe Pennacchio 6% 7% 20% 67%
Murray Sabrin 5% 5% 15% 75%
On the Republican side of the Senate race, former congressman Dick Zimmer – a late
entrant to the race – is known to 46% of the state’s GOP voters, with 14% viewing him
favorably, 8% unfavorably, and 24% having no opinion. State senator Joe Pennacchio (33%)
and professor Murray Sabrin (25%) are known to between a quarter and a third of Republican
voters.
When asked to name who they would like to see as the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate,
25% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents choose Zimmer, compared to just 5%
for Pennacchio and 4% for Sabrin. Another 20% say they have no preference among any of
these three. With just over a month to go before the June 3rd primary, the largest portion of
Republican voters – 40% – say they are undecided.
“The Republican contenders don’t seem to be generating a lot of enthusiasm among GOP
voters,” said poll director Murray.
The poll also found that fewer than half of the state’s voters feel that the 84 year old
senator’s age is affecting his job performance. However, that sentiment has grown somewhat
over the past few months. Currently, 41% say Lautenberg is getting too old to be an effective
senator, while 46% disagree with this statement. In January, 34% said that Lautenberg was
getting too old, while 51% disagreed.
Negative opinion on Lautenberg’s age is less common among his fellow Democrats –
only 36% of these voters feel that Lautenberg is too old compared to 50% who disagree.
Opinion is divided among independent voters – 46% feel Lautenberg is too old compared to 42%
who say he is not. Republicans are also split on the age issue, with 41% who agree that the
incumbent is too old to be effective and 46% who disagree.
Regardless of who gets the nomination, New Jersey voters prefer to keep the state’s U.S.
Senate seat in Democratic hands. More than half (54%) say they are likely to vote for the
Democratic candidate in November, compared to 24% who say they are likely to support the
Republican.
Monmouth Poll: New Jersey Likely to Stay Blue
While several previous polls suggested Sen. John McCain might make New Jersey competitive this fall, a new Monmouth University poll shows Sen. Barack Obama beating McCain, 56% to 32%, and Sen. Hillary Clinton winning, 52% to 38%.
Meanwhile, "all signs point to Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ) being in a strong position for re-election in both the primary and general elections."
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP16_1.pdf
1
The Senate Race
Despite New Jersey voters’ stated preference for a change of face, all signs point to Frank
Lautenberg being in a strong position for re-election in both the primary and general elections.
Overall, 48% of registered voters in the Garden State approve of the job Frank
Lautenberg is doing in the United States Senate, another 31% disapprove and 21% have no
opinion. Democrats approve of his job performance by a 59% to 19% margin, and independents
give him an advantage at 49% approve to 32% disapprove. Republicans are largely negative –
24% approve to 54% disapprove.
Senator Lautenberg tends to be viewed more favorably (43%) than unfavorably (30%) by
New Jersey voters, with 21% offering no opinion. This increases to a 55% to 19% favorability
advantage among Democratic voters. His main primary opponent, Congressman Rob Andrews,
has a 13% to 15% favorability rating among New Jersey Democrats, with 16% offering no
opinion. . .
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Do not recognize
Among Republican voters
Dick Zimmer 14% 8% 24% 54%
Joe Pennacchio 6% 7% 20% 67%
Murray Sabrin 5% 5% 15% 75%
On the Republican side of the Senate race, former congressman Dick Zimmer – a late
entrant to the race – is known to 46% of the state’s GOP voters, with 14% viewing him
favorably, 8% unfavorably, and 24% having no opinion. State senator Joe Pennacchio (33%)
and professor Murray Sabrin (25%) are known to between a quarter and a third of Republican
voters.
When asked to name who they would like to see as the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate,
25% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents choose Zimmer, compared to just 5%
for Pennacchio and 4% for Sabrin. Another 20% say they have no preference among any of
these three. With just over a month to go before the June 3rd primary, the largest portion of
Republican voters – 40% – say they are undecided.
“The Republican contenders don’t seem to be generating a lot of enthusiasm among GOP
voters,” said poll director Murray.
The poll also found that fewer than half of the state’s voters feel that the 84 year old
senator’s age is affecting his job performance. However, that sentiment has grown somewhat
over the past few months. Currently, 41% say Lautenberg is getting too old to be an effective
senator, while 46% disagree with this statement. In January, 34% said that Lautenberg was
getting too old, while 51% disagreed.
Negative opinion on Lautenberg’s age is less common among his fellow Democrats –
only 36% of these voters feel that Lautenberg is too old compared to 50% who disagree.
Opinion is divided among independent voters – 46% feel Lautenberg is too old compared to 42%
who say he is not. Republicans are also split on the age issue, with 41% who agree that the
incumbent is too old to be effective and 46% who disagree.
Regardless of who gets the nomination, New Jersey voters prefer to keep the state’s U.S.
Senate seat in Democratic hands. More than half (54%) say they are likely to vote for the
Democratic candidate in November, compared to 24% who say they are likely to support the
Republican.