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View Full Version : DELEGATES and more DELEGATES...please read this!!!!...can we get this stickied?




roguepatriot
02-10-2008, 09:05 PM
Cross-posted from dailypaul:

I copied this from SGP because it is important and everyone needs to read this!!!!

KEEP THIS BUMPED ALL DAY PLEASE!

PLEASE EVERYONE COPY AND SEND THIS TO THIER EMAIL LIST AND MEETUP HEADS AND ANY OTHER RON PAUL FORUM THERE IS.

I know many of you are new to the election process but don't worry.

I am going to go into some depth of how this all works so read and then read again if you need to.

The MSM is not reporting how to become the nominee in a situation like this so i will tell you to stop getting your info from the MSM.

I know many of you are bummed about yesterday BUT THAT IS BECAUSE YOU DO NOT UNDERSTAND HOW THE ELECTION SYSTEM WORKS : Let me explain to you the reality of how to become the nominee.

First stop looking at who wins each states popular vote for most of these states the vote by the people is really nothing but a straw poll and have no real bearing on who will become the nominee. The only way this matters is if 1 person receives 1191 delegates that are bound by state rules to be commited to that candidate. So if a candiate like Mccain has 600 delegates now and IF he doesn't reach 1191 WHICH HE WILL NOT most of the delegates the state awarded him mean nothing and keep in mind in most of the states most of the people that represent the 600 for Mccain are actually Ron Paul supporters. NOW there is no possible way that anyone in the race can achieve this goal now because of the major split in state wins by the candidates.

Normally Convention Delegates do not matter because the convention is not brokered and we have a clear winner because someone has 1191 delegates. BUT THIS YEAR IS DIFFERENT. This will be a brokered convention there is no way around it. Do you see how the ronpaul campaign strategy will work.

When a candidate wins delegates by winning a primary that does not mean there are actual people that won acting as delegates- these are virtual delegates.

What do I mean by virtual delegates: A virtual delegate is just a number - there are no actual people YET that will go and vote for the candidate who won the particular state at the national convention. We call these people convention delegates

The actual delegates are voted on (in most states) at a statewide delegate caucus after the Primary (which is just a giant preference poll) Who can be delegates? Anyone. In closed Primary states they must be registered Republicans, in Open Primary states they can be Republicans, Democrats, Independents.

And we have lots of delegates.

Out of the 2,380 delegates sent to Minneapolis St. Paul in September-
-463 delegates are bound all the way through the convention some of those 463 are Ron Pauls people.

- 565 delegates will be bound through one ballot. That is, they have to follow the results of the state election on the first ballot. After that, if no candidate has a majority of delegates, they are free to vote as they please and Mccain will not receive over 50% on the first ballot.

- 383 will be bound through two ballots then they are free to vote for whom they wish.

- 318 will be bound through three ballots then they are free to vote for whom they wish.

I am not going to list every state and what the break downs are, just do the math from these numbers or look for yourself here :

http://www.gop.com/Images...

Bottom line is less than 1/2 of the delegates are bound by state party rules. Now do you see how we can win this thing?

So what happens now you ask? You look at the number of delegates that Dr. Paul has that are uncommited to the other candidates and will support him. these delegates are not decided by the popular vote ie: straw poll of the people. Since no one will have enough delegates to skate them through to the nomination we now must look at how many delegates NOT VOTES but delegates Dr. Paul has that are 100% uncommited to the other candidates and will be 100% for Dr. Paul and are free to vote for whom they wish.

This race will go all the way to the convention for there is no other way for someone to receive the nomintaion untill the convention.

The RNC will convene its annual Winter Meeting - and voters will continue to cast their ballots in the nation's primaries and caucuses. Candidates for delegate and alternate delegate to the convention will be elected - and thousands of convention participants and guests will begin planning their trips to Minneapolis-Saint Paul The first week in September 2008

SO WHAT DOES ALL THIS MEAN?

This means that all of the people that registered to become a deligate for Dr. Paul can go to the convention and cast thier vote for Dr. Paul, now think about what i just said : Do you think for one second that all the people that voted for Dr. Paul and filed to become a deligate will not show up at the convention to vote for the good Doctor? Of course they will just like they battled the rain and the sleet and the 15 below zero winter weather to knock on doors and wave signs spreading our message.

Now i assure you that even though we didn't win the popular vote in many states WE DID PICK UP THE MAJORITY OF DELEGATES THAN ALL THE OTHER CANDIDATES IN MOST EVERY STATE EXCEPT A FEW. So yes they won the straw poll and we won what counts which is delegates.

Doesn't Dr. Paul need to WIN 5 states to be on the ballot at the convention for the nomination?

NO THIS IS NOT TRUE for people were just confused on how it actually works.

We only need the majority of delegates from 5 states to be put on the ballot NOT THE POPULAR VOTE OF 5 STATES and i assure you we have picked up the majority of uncommitted delegates for Dr. Paul in more than 5 states.

Do any of you remember seeing posts by myself and many others that said BECOME A DELEGATE? There is still time in most states to become a delegate for the convention and we are picking up more of them every day.

So please STOP! you worry too much because you do not understand how the election system works and you thought we lost didn't you? I assure you we have not!

The fact is Dr. Paul is a genius in his strategy and we are further ahead in delegates than you think and we can win the nomination.

I hope this gives a better understanding of how we have been winning even though most of you thought we were not.

NOW LET'S KEEP WORKING FILE TODAY AND BECOME A DELEGATE BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE!

Dr. Steve Parent

Here is info on how to become a delegate

http://www3.webng.com/ronpaul/delegatestates.html

roguepatriot
02-10-2008, 09:06 PM
First link broken:

http://www.gop.com/Images/AllStateSummaries.pdf

NEPA_Revolution
02-10-2008, 09:08 PM
+1776

AlexMerced
02-10-2008, 09:11 PM
+3552

No1ButPaul08
02-10-2008, 09:12 PM
Bottom line is less than 1/2 of the delegates are bound by state party rules. Now do you see how we can win this thing?



So much misinfomation in this post, please don't sticky. The number is closer to 25%. And the fact is almost all of McCain's delegates ARE bound. He has cleaned up in those states.

dawnbt
02-10-2008, 09:14 PM
bump!

luvthedoc08
02-10-2008, 09:14 PM
bump

roguepatriot
02-10-2008, 09:15 PM
This is from dailypaul also - Disclaimer: I have not vetted, only re-posting.

Insane Juan McCAIN only has 719 delegates right now.

He needs 1,191 to win the nomination.

1,191 - 719 = 472 delegates short

Insane Juan McCAIN is pro-abortion, pro-amnesty and pro Mexican health care. He's also pro-economic "stimulus" package. He's more liberal than Boy George.

Here are the upcoming contests...only Washington, D.C and Vermont are winner take all states.

Give Huck the south, and McCAIN the blue states.

I will leave out key states, too close to call states.

02/12/08 D.C. Primary 19 - Insane McCAIN

02/12/08 Md. Primary 38 - Insane

02/12/08 Va. Primary 64 - Huck

02/19/08 Wis. Primary 40 - too close

03/04/08 Ohio Primary 91 - too close

03/04/08 R.I. Primary 21 - Insane

03/04/08 Texas Primary 138 - Huck or Paul, Insane won't win Texas

03/04/08 Vt. Primary 18 - Insane

03/11/08 Miss. Primary 37 - Huck

04/22/08 Pa. Primary 75 - too close

05/06/08 Ind. Primary 55 - Huck

05/06/08 N.C. Primary 67 - Huck

05/13/08 Neb. Primary 35 - Huck

05/16/08 Hawaii Primary 20 - Insane

05/20/08 Ky. Primary 45 - Huck

05/20/08 Ore. Primary 31 - Paul

05/27/08 Idaho Primary 32 - Paul

06/03/08 N.M. Primary 24 - Insane

06/03/08 S.D. Primary 27 - Paul
-----------------------------------------------

Okay, addy up...

Insane McCAIN wins only 140 delegates....he needs 472

Okay fine...let's be generous and give him every single too close to call state.

140 + 40 + 91 + 75 = 346 ! Still short

472 - 346 = 126 delegates short

So....

Insane McCAIN still loses and comes up short even when factoring in ALL the close states, and assuming the delegates are winner take all - which they are not.

He's not going to win the nomination because he cannot win 1,191 delegates.

BC

Bradley in DC
02-10-2008, 09:17 PM
This has been posted a lot and is still a load of crap no matter how many times it's reposted. Simplistic one-size-fits-all pipe dreams based on bad info does more harm than good.

Analysis and recommendations have to be very state-specific. Taking info for one state and urging it in other states with different rules is counter-productive--which is exactly what you're doing here.

On top of that, there is just so much totally bad information here.

First stop looking at who wins each states popular vote for most of these states the vote by the people is really nothing but a straw poll and have no real bearing on who will become the nominee. The only way this matters is if 1 person receives 1192 delegates that are bound by state rules to be commited to that candidate. NOW there is no possible way that anyone in the race can achieve this goal now because of the major split in state wins by the candidates.

This is a load of crap on so many levels: votes do have bearing on choosing delegates that choose the nominee; one can get 1192 votes from unbound and bound delegates; there are enough votes outstanding for McCain to win outright.


Now i assure you that even though we didn’t win the popular vote in many states WE DID PICK UP THE MAJORITY OF DELEGATES THAN ALL THE OTHER CANDIDATES IN MOST EVERY STATE EXCEPT A FEW. So yes they won the straw poll and we won what counts which is delegates.

This is just delusional ranting: someone call for a straight-jacket. The delusions are based on an understanding of the process from Anson's site that is, to be charitable, well-meaning but laughable:


Do any of you remember seeing posts by myself and many others that said BECOME A DELEGATE? There is still time in most states to become a delegate for the convention and we are picking up more of them every day.

roguepatriot
02-10-2008, 09:17 PM
So much misinfomation in this post, please don't sticky. The number is closer to 25%. And the fact is almost all of McCain's delegates ARE bound. He has cleaned up in those states.

Thanks - can anyone verify?

nc4rp
02-10-2008, 09:19 PM
good points.

JordanQ72
02-10-2008, 09:21 PM
So....

Insane McCAIN still loses and comes up short even when factoring in ALL the close states, and assuming the delegates are winner take all - which they are not.

He's not going to win the nomination because he cannot win 1,191 delegates.

BC

And also factoring in the crazy assumption that NOT A SINGLE UNBOUND DELEGATE will vote for him.

JordanQ72
02-10-2008, 09:23 PM
Thanks - can anyone verify?

Well, you can verify it yourself



Bottom line is less than 1/2 of the delegates are bound by state party rules. Now do you see how we can win this thing?

That quote doesn't refer to the first ballot, but the 4th ballot. There's a high likelihood a winner would emerge in the first 3 ballots.

On the first ballot, almost 80% of the delegates around bound.

No1ButPaul08
02-10-2008, 09:33 PM
This is from dailypaul also - Disclaimer: I have not vetted, only re-posting.

Insane Juan McCAIN only has 719 delegates right now.

He needs 1,191 to win the nomination.

1,191 - 719 = 472 delegates short

Insane Juan McCAIN is pro-abortion, pro-amnesty and pro Mexican health care. He's also pro-economic "stimulus" package. He's more liberal than Boy George.

Here are the upcoming contests...only Washington, D.C and Vermont are winner take all states.

Give Huck the south, and McCAIN the blue states.

I will leave out key states, too close to call states.

02/12/08 D.C. Primary 19 - Insane McCAIN

02/12/08 Md. Primary 38 - Insane

02/12/08 Va. Primary 64 - Huck

02/19/08 Wis. Primary 40 - too close

03/04/08 Ohio Primary 91 - too close

03/04/08 R.I. Primary 21 - Insane

03/04/08 Texas Primary 138 - Huck or Paul, Insane won't win Texas

03/04/08 Vt. Primary 18 - Insane

03/11/08 Miss. Primary 37 - Huck

04/22/08 Pa. Primary 75 - too close

05/06/08 Ind. Primary 55 - Huck

05/06/08 N.C. Primary 67 - Huck

05/13/08 Neb. Primary 35 - Huck

05/16/08 Hawaii Primary 20 - Insane

05/20/08 Ky. Primary 45 - Huck

05/20/08 Ore. Primary 31 - Paul

05/27/08 Idaho Primary 32 - Paul

06/03/08 N.M. Primary 24 - Insane

06/03/08 S.D. Primary 27 - Paul
-----------------------------------------------

Okay, addy up...

Insane McCAIN wins only 140 delegates....he needs 472

Okay fine...let's be generous and give him every single too close to call state.

140 + 40 + 91 + 75 = 346 ! Still short

472 - 346 = 126 delegates short

So....

Insane McCAIN still loses and comes up short even when factoring in ALL the close states, and assuming the delegates are winner take all - which they are not.

He's not going to win the nomination because he cannot win 1,191 delegates.

BC

This post automatically assumes every state is winner take all, which they are not, especially the remaining states. Nor does it account for over 200 delegates from states that haven't votes. And McCain is up 30 points in the Virginia Poll from the other day, one of the remaining winner take all states.

rmholla
02-10-2008, 09:40 PM
Listen, we need to keep fighting for every delegate we can get. There is still a chance McCain will not win outright. There is also a chance he will have a temper tantrum and explode a blood vessel.

This is a long process and anyone who gives up just because it is a long shot fail to realize that even from the beginning this was a long shot, yet we have made it more real than MOST people thought possible.

So don't get down. Remember that you are fighting for freedom and not one battle for freedom has ever been easy nor quick. Winning our freedom from England was a long shot and at many points along the way the odds seemed nearly impossible but yet it happened.

-

No1ButPaul08
02-10-2008, 09:41 PM
That quote doesn't refer to the first ballot, but the 4th ballot. There's a high likelihood a winner would emerge in the first 3 ballots.

On the first ballot, almost 80% of the delegates around bound.

It doesn't say that. It says, "Bottom line is less than 1/2 of the delegates are bound by state party rules. Now do you see how we can win this thing?"

That quote is just flat out not true. This quote assumes a brokered convention, yet it does not say that. It does however, guarentee a brokered convention elsewhere, which is just ridiculous. If the original author of this work was so confident of this, he could be a very rich man betting on the brokered convention as the betting exchanges show about a 5% chance of that happening.

I also disagree about a winner emerging within the first 3 ballots. If McCain loses on the first ballot, all he will break lose. He will get weaker on every ballot after that until he ends up releasing all of his delegates as he realizes his hopes of ever being President are squashed. Meanwhile, we would get stronger during the process.

nc4rp
03-21-2008, 09:27 AM
BLIMP!!!

http://newcentrist.files.wordpress.com/2007/12/ron-paul-blimp.jpg

m72mc
03-21-2008, 09:37 AM
Ron Paul is still in the race cause he knows Mccain do NOT have enough delegates, so lets just keep going.
Besides it´s caucuses and delegates at conventions that matters and sets the rules. Delegates can be unbound at state conventions also.

Only 2 candidates left, we are closer to victory now, than we have ever been.