waverunner
02-09-2008, 11:05 PM
Okay, I want to help people understand how this process worked and will work going forward.
I had the opportunity to look over the delegate allocation for ALL of KING COUNTY (Seattle proper). There were OVER 4000 delegate slots in King county alone. But everyone must remember that the EASTSIDE (Bellevue, Redmond) precincts had a 2:1 delegate ratio when compared to a Seattle precinct due to the lack of republicans in Seattle. What we really need are results from the eastside of King county since that is where all the delegate counts come from. I know for a fact that we won the 43rd legislative district, which is important as I will discuss later. But don't forget about Spokane and Vancouver (Clark county). These are large areas as well.
What everyone needs to remember is that 2 NATIONAL DELEGATES get selected from EACH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT at the State convention. King county has 4 different congressional districts overlapping it. This makes caucus strategy at the county and state level a real tough challenge. But in Spokane and Vancouver, it looks like Ron Paul will win those congressional districts overwhelmingly and be able to seal the 2 national delegates in each of those areas along with the Tri Cities (Another eastern Wash. Congressional District) for a total of 6 national delegates from just those 3 districts. What happens in King county and the rest of the 6 districts on the westside of the state is an open question, but since the Ron Paul people came out in force in the 43rd legislative district in a big way because mostly democrats live in these areas, their vote should have increased meaning at the state level due to the fact that there is a lower republican registration number in these Seattle congressional districts. The eastside Congressional district of King county may very well go to Huck or Mccain, but it looks like the few delegates that won in Seattle will be money in the bank in those areas because of the low republican registration in those areas. But Mccain and Huck may very well have more delegates in King county due to the eastside having a 2:1 delegate ratio with the westside, but all that matters in the end is how many delegates are in your CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT.
Which leads me to my final question about the national election:
IS IT POSSIBLE THAT RON PAUL IS DOMINATING AND THEREFORE POTENTIALLY WINNING NATIONAL DELEGATES IN AREAS WITH HIGH DEMOCRATIC REGISTRATIONS? THIS WOULD MAKE THE RON PAUL PRECINCT DELEGATES MORE VALUABLE BECAUSE IF THEY ARE VOTING BY CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT FOR NATIONAL DELEGATES LIKE WASHINGTON STATE, THERE WON'T BE VERY MUCH COMPETITION WHEN THEY PICK NATIONAL DELEGATES!!!
I had the opportunity to look over the delegate allocation for ALL of KING COUNTY (Seattle proper). There were OVER 4000 delegate slots in King county alone. But everyone must remember that the EASTSIDE (Bellevue, Redmond) precincts had a 2:1 delegate ratio when compared to a Seattle precinct due to the lack of republicans in Seattle. What we really need are results from the eastside of King county since that is where all the delegate counts come from. I know for a fact that we won the 43rd legislative district, which is important as I will discuss later. But don't forget about Spokane and Vancouver (Clark county). These are large areas as well.
What everyone needs to remember is that 2 NATIONAL DELEGATES get selected from EACH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT at the State convention. King county has 4 different congressional districts overlapping it. This makes caucus strategy at the county and state level a real tough challenge. But in Spokane and Vancouver, it looks like Ron Paul will win those congressional districts overwhelmingly and be able to seal the 2 national delegates in each of those areas along with the Tri Cities (Another eastern Wash. Congressional District) for a total of 6 national delegates from just those 3 districts. What happens in King county and the rest of the 6 districts on the westside of the state is an open question, but since the Ron Paul people came out in force in the 43rd legislative district in a big way because mostly democrats live in these areas, their vote should have increased meaning at the state level due to the fact that there is a lower republican registration number in these Seattle congressional districts. The eastside Congressional district of King county may very well go to Huck or Mccain, but it looks like the few delegates that won in Seattle will be money in the bank in those areas because of the low republican registration in those areas. But Mccain and Huck may very well have more delegates in King county due to the eastside having a 2:1 delegate ratio with the westside, but all that matters in the end is how many delegates are in your CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT.
Which leads me to my final question about the national election:
IS IT POSSIBLE THAT RON PAUL IS DOMINATING AND THEREFORE POTENTIALLY WINNING NATIONAL DELEGATES IN AREAS WITH HIGH DEMOCRATIC REGISTRATIONS? THIS WOULD MAKE THE RON PAUL PRECINCT DELEGATES MORE VALUABLE BECAUSE IF THEY ARE VOTING BY CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT FOR NATIONAL DELEGATES LIKE WASHINGTON STATE, THERE WON'T BE VERY MUCH COMPETITION WHEN THEY PICK NATIONAL DELEGATES!!!