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m72mc
02-06-2008, 04:53 AM
watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ON3PM4Xgwjw

then read


Here are figures you won't get watching the prognostications on the Super Tuesday coverage.

These facts are here to provide stability in the face of a lot of hype and nonsense you'll see and hear. It should also keep a few of you (just a few) from throwing your TV's out the window or driving you cars into a poll (or pole).

FACT: There are COMMITTED & UNCOMMITTED delegates at stake.

FACT: COMMITTED delegates are bound to a particular candidate.

FACT: UNCOMMITTED delegates are free to decide on a candidate all the way up to convention.

Very Important FACT: When candidates drop out, they have the option of releasing their delegates (this usually happens). If they endorse another candidate, their COMMITTED delegates are released to vote for whichever candidate they want to.

TOTAL REPUBLICAN PARTY DELEGATES = 2,380
TOTAL REPUBLICAN PARTY DELEGATES NEEDED TO WIN = 1,191
TOTAL REPUBLICAN PARTY DELEGATES AT STAKE TOMORROW = 975 (41% OF TOTAL DELEGATES)
TOTAL OF THESE AT STAKE THAT ARE COMMITTED = 429 (18% OF TOTAL DELEGATES)

You will most likely hear nonsense like candidate 'X' wins 400-700 delegates and candidate 'Y' wins 200-400 delegates, while candidates 'A' & 'B' gather a few here and there. Obviously those figures are impossible when you factor in only 429 COMMITTED delegates are objectively at stake.

Understand that no matter what happens tomorrow, with the UNCOMMITTED delegate factor, this race will still be up for grabs.