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nate895
02-05-2008, 08:18 PM
If things go the way they're going the end result will be:
McCain: 695
Huckabee: 663
Romney: 507
Paul: 181

+/- 100 delegates

This is assuming that Huckabee can win the South where he hasn't lost already, and includes Iowa. I think it will balance out to around that number with a couple Midwest victories.

McCain wins where he has + liberal states: Bad thing is that most of these states vote today.

Romney: Outside of the South conservatives

Paul: everywhere else.

nate895
02-05-2008, 08:50 PM
bump

hellsingfan
02-05-2008, 08:51 PM
how'd you get 181? Anyway I hope by the end of this bs election we have more than 300 delegates

LastoftheMohicans
02-05-2008, 08:52 PM
If things go the way they're going the end result will be:
McCain: 695
Huckabee: 663
Romney: 507
Paul: 181

+/- 100 delegates

This is assuming that Huckabee can win the South where he hasn't lost already, and includes Iowa. I think it will balance out to around that number with a couple Midwest victories.

McCain wins where he has + liberal states: Bad thing is that most of these states vote today.

Romney: Outside of the South conservatives

Paul: everywhere else.

Assuming your numbers pan out, what is the advantage for the other 3 big government Republicans to even try to get his delegates. They won't need them.

jeff43
02-05-2008, 08:54 PM
I think you're giving way too many to Huckabee and Romney. What other states is Huckabee going to win outside of the SE? Romney won Mass. and will win Utah. What else? McCain is dominating tonight. And where does Paul get 181 delegates?

Vet_from_cali
02-05-2008, 08:57 PM
What Would Happen If This Scenario Develops?

Sry Im New To Politics

american empire
02-05-2008, 08:58 PM
181....dude what are you smokin

nate895
02-05-2008, 09:00 PM
I think you're giving way too many to Huckabee and Romney. What other states is Huckabee going to win outside of the SE? Romney won Mass. and will win Utah. What else? McCain is dominating tonight. And where does Paul get 181 delegates?

This is overall, when all is settled.

I only gave Huckabee the Southeast, that's it. I figured he could win a lot of delegates in the midwest also, balancing it out in the proportional states.

I gave Romney everything I didn't give to McCain, Huckabee, or Paul + 1/2 of Calif.

I gave McCain where he has already won, plus the large liberal/moderate states + 1/2 of California. I gave Paul MT, AK, HW, the territories, DC, and WA caucuses.

nate895
02-05-2008, 09:01 PM
Assuming your numbers pan out, what is the advantage for the other 3 big government Republicans to even try to get his delegates. They won't need them.

Hopefully our delegates have infiltrated.

jeff43
02-05-2008, 09:02 PM
McCain already has over 300 delegates and we haven't gotten to the western states yet. Huckabee has just 58 delegates. Romney is doing terrible tonight.

werdd
02-05-2008, 09:03 PM
it would be freaking hilarious if huckabee got 666.

nate895
02-05-2008, 09:05 PM
McCain already has over 300 delegates and we haven't gotten to the western states yet. Huckabee has just 58 delegates. Romney is doing terrible tonight.

I predict he will Arizona in the west (plus Oregon, but that's in May). He will also only receive half of the delegate from CA, due to the way they distribute them. Romney is only looking to win a few tonight in my results. Utah, MN, MA, CO, ND, and 1/2 of CA.

c0unterph0bia
02-05-2008, 09:09 PM
I thought you had to win 5 states in order to be in the brokered convention. Is this right?

nate895
02-05-2008, 09:25 PM
I thought you had to win 5 states in order to be in the brokered convention. Is this right?

At some point the majority of delegates from 5 states have to prefer you, even after the first ballot.