Lets do a REAL delegate estimate for Ron Paul

[dblee]

As far as I can tell:

Iowa 6/40
Nevada 20/34?? edit: I heard we got the majority of county delegates despite romney's huge showing in the straw poll.
Louisiana 21/47?
Maine 7/21??
West Virginia 3/18


For an guestimated total of 57...


If anyone can improve on these numbers give it a shot :)

[eok321]

58..their ya go

[literatim]

We will have all of Louisiana's if the pro-life/pro-family slate gets thrown out as invalid.

[dblee]

bump for unfounded speculation :D

[tonyr1988]

bump for unfounded speculation :D

True, right now it's complete speculation.

But...I think it's important to have a stickied thread (at least) or a new subforum (at most) to keep track of this. We shouldn't make any declarations unless:

1) They're bound by law to vote for Paul, or
2) The state has already had their convention, and we know they are going to St Paul.

[humanic]

The OP did say "estimate." The MSM totals are estimates/speculation too are they not? Why not compile our best estimates? They are definitely closer to reality than those reported in the MSM.

[dblee]

The OP did say "estimate." The MSM totals are estimates/speculation too are they not? Why not compile our best estimates? They are definitely closer to reality than those reported in the MSM.

exactly!

[Badger Paul]

This thread should be stickied so people can know the real delegate counts instead of the phony ones and who knows? We could get more from these states.

[miketwalker]

I'm confused, where are you getting 3 for for West Virginia? (then again, their convention system is confusing to me)

[Mystile]

we only got 4 in Nevada.


I'm confused, where are you getting 3 for for West Virginia? (then again, their convention system is confusing to me)

got 3 from Huck because the RP supporters voting for him enabling him to win.

[humanic]

I'm confused, where are you getting 3 for for West Virginia? (then again, their convention system is confusing to me)

http://ronpaul2008.typepad.com/ron_paul_2008/2008/02/ron-paul-secure.html

[Esor]

How did we recieve 20 delegates in Nevada? Paul came in second yet gets over 50% of the delegates?

I'm confused, where are you getting 3 for for West Virginia? (then again, their convention system is confusing to me)
The Paul campaign and the Huck campaign made a deal. If Paul voters (who couldn't vote for Paul because he was eliminated first round) voted for huckabee, they'd give us three delegates. We joined forces and allowed Huckabee to take WV to stick it to McRomney. Hopefully they will return the favor if the time calls.

[dblee]

Huck now has 58 delegates -3 if you count the ones for paul...

we are virtually tied, yet we have not (officially) won a state.

The media is touting Huckabee as having a comeback now...

I hate the establishment.

[dblee]

we only got 4 in Nevada.



got 3 from Huck because the RP supporters voting for him enabling him to win.

Nevada has not had it's convention yet.

PLEASE ignore MSM reports on delegates, they are ESTIMATING proportionally based on popular vote.

[dvictr]

62

[dvictr]

62



YES i just did pull that out of my ass

[Airborn]

How did we recieve 20 delegates in Nevada? Paul came in second yet gets over 50% of the delegates?

The Paul campaign and the Huck campaign made a deal. If Paul voters (who couldn't vote for Paul because he was eliminated first round) voted for huckabee, they'd give us three delegates. We joined forces and allowed Huckabee to take WV to stick it to McRomney. Hopefully they will return the favor if the time calls.

the straw poll had nothing to do with who gets how many delegates