No polls, Paul sleeper state

[Bradley in DC]

Ok, the ONLY poll I can find for Delaware was from October and didn't include Dr. Paul. Pre-money bomb polls don't count!

So, with Delaware winner-take-all and knowing Forbes carried the state the first time, could some of our Delaware forum members update us, please? Could Delaware be a sleeper state for a Ron Paul win?

[nate895]

If Thompson supporter in that poll broke for us (I'm assuming 4/5 of the others was us) 2:1 vs Romney, we've got 11%, and then the money bomb boost would could've been up to 20-30%, but that would be unlikely to beat McWar who probably picked a lot of Giuliani's votes. Hopefully the economy was important to these voters and they split 1:1 with Romney, making an unlikely 30% a victory snatcher.

[Naraku]

Delaware is a small state and with a low turnout it could be very favorable for Paul.

[nate895]

Delaware is a small state and with a low turnout it could be very favorable for Paul.

Let it snow all day long, or mud is fine as well.

[Delaware]

turnout was 30,000 in the year 2000, We had a online straw poll (you had to affirm name and address) and Ron Paul won it with 894 votes. Using that and donor/voter ratios in other states (we have had ~145 donors), my estimate is 6 to 11%.

But, every week Tom Ross runs a Delaware GOP Email Poll and Ron Paul's latest number was 12% (500 respondants).

[DirtMcGirt]

jersey is my sleeper state...