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Bradley in DC
02-02-2008, 03:22 AM
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=81f6ce0b-80f1-4a88-ad56-98860ea30b15

Paul at 5% overall 12% with Blacks, 15% with Hispanics and 16% with other, and 14% of independents.

Huckabee Very Much in the Missouri Mix; McCain Battles in Three-For-All: The outcome of Missouri's Winner-Take-All Republican Primary is impossible to know, 4 days to the vote, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KCTV-TV Kansas City and KSDK-TV St. Louis. John McCain is at 34%, Mitt Romney at 30%, Mike Huckabee at 28%, all three within the survey's 4.5 point margin of sampling error. Among men: tied. Among younger voters: tied. Among pro-life voters: tied. Among regular church goers: tied. Among white voters: tied. McCain has a clear advantage in greater St. Louis, has a slight advantage among women, among seniors, among Moderates, among those who attend church less frequently, among those focused on the Economy, and in greater Kansas City. Huckabee leads in the Ozarks. Romney and Huckabee tie in Central MO. Romney leads among voters focused on Immigration, Terrorism and Social Security. The relative size of regional turnout could decide the contest.

Filtering / Timing: 2,000 state of MO adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. Of them, 1,833 were registered to vote. Of them, 505 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Republican Primary. All interviews conducted after results of Florida Primary were known. Half of interviews conducted prior to Republican debate on 01/30/08, half conducted after. John McCain received a number of prominent endorsements during the field period for this survey. The full effect of those endorsements, if there is any, may not yet be reflected in this data.

driller80545
02-02-2008, 03:27 AM
5% I just don't get it. RP is like the man people are afraid to support.

stevedasbach
02-02-2008, 08:58 AM
5% I just don't get it. RP is like the man people are afraid to support.

People have been convinced by the media that he can't win. Most people simply aren't willing to "waste their vote" by supporting someone who can't win.

That's why the campaign needed to start running national TV ads back in December. They needed to drive Ron Paul's poll numbers into double digits, competitive with the other candidates, so that the media wouldn't have been able to use low poll numbers as an excuse to marginalize him and starve his campaign of coverage.

ItsTime
02-02-2008, 09:07 AM
Second place Nevada

Second place LA

I am starting to think White Republicans should lose their right to vote. (sarcasm)

Sarkin
02-02-2008, 09:52 AM
Guys, we don't want to compete in MO. Well, we do, but we really don't. We want Huckabee or Romney to pull a win here. Altogether, in every state that we don't have a strong chance of winning, we want a Huckabee win, then a few Romney wins, and then a few McCain wins. We want a three-way tie up there, for a brokered convention. Sure, it's not a likely scenario, and even a brokered convention wouldn't even be close to a guarantee, but it's a shot in the dark, and we're taking it. I figure we have the same chances as the Founding Fathers had of creating a new country successfully and fighting off the largest empire in the world (Britain, now the military/industrial-complex).