CA polls

[Bradley in DC]

http://www.pollster.com/08-CA-Rep-Pres-Primary.php

http://www.pollster.com/CATopzReps600.png

[Eponym_mi]

This is bad, especially if the Ghoul's supporters break mostly for McCain, which I think is VERY likely.

[Bradley in DC]

Hang on,in the latest Rasmussen poll, Paul doubles support, now into double digits.

Also, Cali is winner-take-all by CD, so if we can come in first in some Congressional Districts, we get three delegates each.

Rasmussen GOP California Primary, conducted Jan. 29th, 2008
John McCain 34%
Mitt Romney 26%
Mike Huckabee 16%
Ron Paul 10%
The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidenc


Previous poll (apples to apples):

Rasmussen GOP California Primary
John McCain 32%
Mitt Romney 28%
Rudy Giuliani 14%
Mike Huckabee 11%
Ron Paul 5%
Sixty-five percent (65%) of Giuliani voters had a favorable opinion of Romney while 53% said the same about McCain. Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Giuliani’s voters believe McCain would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Sixty-one percent (61%) are that confident about Romney’s electability.
As of Tuesday night, the race was very fluid—just 57% of voters were “certain” they had settled on their final choice. Fifteen percent (15%) said there was a good chance they could change their mind.
Romney narrowly leads McCain among conservatives 37% to 26%. McCain attracts 53% of moderates. Giuliani picked up 15% of the moderate vote while Romney earned 11%.
In California, 35% of Republican Primary Voters named the economy as the top voting issue. Immigration is the top priority for 25% followed by the War in Iraq (16%) and National Security (12%).
As he did in Florida, McCain leads Romney slightly among voters who name the economy as the highest priority. McCain also leads among those who see Iraq and National Security as their top voting issue. However, Romney leads by a two-to-one margin among voters focused on immigration.
Survey of 652 likely Republican voters was conducted January 29, 2008. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

[Larry_for_Paul]

We can take 3rd in California (and maybe win a CD or two). Campaign needs to go all out. Good luck grassroots.

[thelastpatriot]

I think we can pick up the steam in California ... and place really high... as long as the technology hub doesnt let us down

[Bradley in DC]

We can take 3rd in California (and maybe win a CD or two). Campaign needs to go all out. Good luck grassroots.

There are a LOT of anti-war, pro-civil liberties CDs that are represented by Ds that should be ripe for us to pick up.

[nate895]

The urban areas are ripe for us because there are so few Republicans, in San Fransisco there are only 3,000.