Washington Post-ABC News Poll August 6th!

[rp4prez]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_080607.html?hpid=topnews


Washington Post-ABC News Poll
The Washington Post
Monday, August 6, 2007

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 26-31, 2007, among a random sample of 402 Iowans likely to vote in the Republican caucus. The results have an five percentage point margin of sampling error. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa. J. Ann Selzer of Selzer & Company, Inc. of Des Moines, Iowa consulted on this project.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) Are you registered to vote in Iowa at your present address, or not?

Yes No No opinion
7/31/07 100 0 0



2. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential campaign: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

----- Closely ------ ----- Not closely ------ No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
7/31/07 88 35 53 12 10 2 0

3. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will attend one of the Iowa presidential caucuses that will be held in your precinct next January. Are you absolutely certain you will attend, will you probably attend, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

Certain Probably Chances Less than Will not No
to attend attend 50/50 50/50 attend (vol.) opin.
7/31/07 39 61 0 0 0 0

4. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) If the caucuses were being held today, would you attend the (Democratic Party caucus) or the (Republican Party caucus) in your precinct?

Democratic caucus Republican caucus
7/31/07 0 100


5. If the 2008 Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Tommy Thompson, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, and Fred Thompson), who would you support?

NET LEANED VOTE IF NO GINGRICH:

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 26
Rudy Giuliani 14
Fred Thompson 13
Mike Huckabee 8
John McCain 8
Sam Brownback 5
Tom Tancredo 5
Tommy Thompson 4
Ron Paul 2
Duncan Hunter 1
Other (vol.) 1
None of these (vol.) 4
No opinion 7

NET LEANED VOTE INCLUDING GINGRICH:

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 25
Rudy Giuliani 14
Fred Thompson 13
Mike Huckabee 8
John McCain 8
Sam Brownback 5
Tom Tancredo 5
Newt Gingrich 4
Tommy Thompson 4
Ron Paul 2
Duncan Hunter 1
Other (vol.) 1
None of these (vol.) 3
No opinion 7


6. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?

7/31/07 - Summary Table

Strongly Somewhat No opin.
Mitt Romney 41 59 0


7. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?


NET LEANED VOTE:

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 20
Rudy Giuliani 18
Fred Thompson 13
Sam Brownback 7
Tommy Thompson 7
John McCain 6
Newt Gingrich 6
Mike Huckabee 4
Tom Tancredo 4
Duncan Hunter 2
Ron Paul *
Other (vol.) 3
None of these (vol.) 4
Would not vote (vol.) *
No opinion 5

First choice/Second choice NET

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 43
Rudy Giuliani 30
Fred Thompson 24
John McCain 14
Sam Brownback 11
Mike Huckabee 11
Tommy Thompson 11
Newt Gingrich 9
Tom Tancredo 9
Duncan Hunter 3
Ron Paul 3
Other (vol.) 3
None of these (vol.) 7
Would not vote (vol.) *
No opinion 12


8. Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination for president - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?

---- Satisfied ------- --- Dissatisfied ---- No
NET Very Somewhat NET Somewhat Very opinion
7/31/07 73 19 55 25 22 3 1

9. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think (ITEM)?

7/31/07 - Summary Table
Other/none/
Giuliani McCain Romney F. Thompson no opin.
a. is the strongest leader 26 11 23 9 31
b. best understands the problems
of people like you 13 7 21 9 50
c. is the most honest and trustworthy 7 10 21 11 50
d. has the best experience to be president 22 18 21 5 34
e. has campaigned the hardest in Iowa 6 7 49 * 37
f. has the best chance of getting elected
president in November 2008 31 5 26 11 27
g. is closest to you on the issues 12 8 24 9 48
h. is best able to handle the situation
in Iraq 17 21 15 8 40
i. is the most likeable 20 6 27 11 36

Trend:

a. is the strongest leader

7/31/07
Rudy Giuliani 26
Mitt Romney 23
John McCain 11
Fred Thompson 9
Newt Gingrich 5
Sam Brownback 4
Mike Huckabee 4
Tom Tancredo 2
Tommy Thompson 2
Duncan Hunter *
Ron Paul *
All of them *
None of them 1
No opinion 12

b. best understands the problems of people like you

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 21
Rudy Giuliani 13
Mike Huckabee 10
Fred Thompson 9
Sam Brownback 7
John McCain 7
Tommy Thompson 5
Tom Tancredo 4
Newt Gingrich 3
Ron Paul 2

Duncan Hunter 1
All of them 1
None of them 5
No opinion 12

c. is the most honest and trustworthy

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 21
Fred Thompson 11
John McCain 10
Mike Huckabee 10
Sam Brownback 7
Rudy Giuliani 7
Tommy Thompson 5
Newt Gingrich 3
Tom Tancredo 3
Ron Paul 2
Duncan Hunter 1
All of them 1
None of them 5
No opinion 13

d. has the best experience to be president

7/31/07
Rudy Giuliani 22
Mitt Romney 21
John McCain 18
Newt Gingrich 8
Fred Thompson 5
Tommy Thompson 4
Mike Huckabee 4
Sam Brownback 3
Ron Paul 1
Duncan Hunter *
Tom Tancredo *
All of them *
None of them 2
No opinion 12

e. has campaigned the hardest in Iowa

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 49
John McCain 7
Rudy Giuliani 6
Tommy Thompson 5
Sam Brownback 4
Tom Tancredo 4
Newt Gingrich 1
Mike Huckabee 1
Ron Paul *
Fred Thompson *
All of them 2
None of them 5
No opinion 16

f. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008

7/31/07
Rudy Giuliani 31
Mitt Romney 26
Fred Thompson 11
John McCain 5
Newt Gingrich 3
Tommy Thompson 3
Sam Brownback 2
Mike Huckabee 1
Tom Tancredo 1
Ron Paul 1
None of them 3
No opinion 14

g. is closest to you on the issues

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 24
Rudy Giuliani 12
Mike Huckabee 9
Fred Thompson 9
John McCain 8
Sam Brownback 7
Tom Tancredo 5
Tommy Thompson 5
Newt Gingrich 4
Ron Paul 3
Duncan Hunter 2
All of them *
None of them 2
No opinion 11

h. is best able to handle the situation in Iraq

7/31/07
John McCain 21
Rudy Giuliani 17
Mitt Romney 15
Fred Thompson 8
Newt Gingrich 5
Sam Brownback 3
Tommy Thompson 3
Mike Huckabee 3
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 1
Ron Paul 1
All of them 1
None of them 7
No opinion 16

i. is the most likeable

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 27
Rudy Giuliani 20
Mike Huckabee 8
Tommy Thompson 6
John McCain 6
Sam Brownback 4
Newt Gingrich 2
Tom Tancredo 2
Duncan Hunter *
Ron Paul *
Fred Thompson 11
All of them 1
None of them 1
No opinion 12



10. So far in the Republican campaign, have you (ITEM)?

7/31/07 - Summary Table

Yes No No opin.
a. Been called on the telephone
by any of the campaigns 63 36 *
b. Attended a campaign event 23 77 *
c. Contributed money to any of
the presidential candidates 10 90 *
d. Visited any of the candidates'
Web sites on the Internet 28 72 0
e. Received e-mails from any
of the campaigns 24 74 1


11. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

----- Worth fighting ---- --- Not worth fighting --
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly No opinion
7/31/07 81 60 20 17 4 13 3



12. Have you attended any previous Iowa caucuses, or will this be your first caucus?

Have attended First caucus No opinion
7/31/07 76 24 0


13. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?

Strength and New direction Both Neither No
experience and new ideas (vol.) (vol.) opin.
7/31/07 70 21 8 1 1

***END***

[Mom4Ron]

wow if I were to talk these polls seriously, I would have to conclude that the members of the GOP don't really want to win the whitehouse next year.

[rp4prez]

I think out of the 402 people who were polled this below surprised me the most.


Yes No No opin.
d. Visited any of the candidates'
Web sites on the Internet 28 72 0
e. Received e-mails from any
of the campaigns 24 74 1

[PatriotOne]

I think out of the 402 people who were polled this below surprised me the most.


Yes No No opin.
d. Visited any of the candidates'
Web sites on the Internet 28 72 0
e. Received e-mails from any
of the campaigns 24 74 1

Actually they called 402 people but only found 100 registered repubs to actually take the poll.

A poll of 100 people is pretty meaningless if a person was to ask me.

[AdamT]

They found 100 ZOMBIES.

[Scribbler de Stebbing]

This is where I stopped reading.


c. is the most honest and trustworthy

7/31/07
Mitt Romney 21
Fred Thompson 11
John McCain 10
Mike Huckabee 10
Sam Brownback 7
Rudy Giuliani 7
Tommy Thompson 5
Newt Gingrich 3
Tom Tancredo 3
Ron Paul 2
Duncan Hunter 1
All of them 1
None of them 5
No opinion 13

Turn out the lights on the America that once was. Someone put something in the water and it stinks. Where's our next frontier? I've been proposing Greenland.

[PatriotOne]

This is where I stopped reading.



Turn out the lights on the America that once was. Someone put something in the water and it stinks. Where's our next frontier? I've been proposing Greenland.


No kidding. I'll probably have a Ryder Truck loaded up and be somewhere near the Canadian border during the elections. There's about five of the so-called top tiers that if elected, I am outta here immediately :eek:.

[Roxi]

Actually they called 402 people but only found 100 registered repubs to actually take the poll.

A poll of 100 people is pretty meaningless if a person was to ask me.


these are percentages not people..

and I am not surprised that out of 400 republican voters that voted for bush last election only 2% are voting for ron paul.. this poll means absolutely nothing

if i knew 400 people that voted for republican (bush) in the last election it wouldn't phase me if 98% of them didn't know who ron paul was

[ladyjade3]

Actually they called 402 people but only found 100 registered repubs to actually take the poll.

A poll of 100 people is pretty meaningless if a person was to ask me.

No, it meant 100 percent.

[MozoVote]

Interesting that only 28% of the people polled said they have visited a candidate website. Either Iowa really isn't very wired, or the polling population is very uninterested in researching the choices.

[PatriotOne]

Doh! :D

[LibertyEagle]

This is where I stopped reading.

This is what I found to be the most interesting:


d. Visited any of the candidates'
Web sites on the Internet 28 72 0

Why? I wonder how many of these people have high-speed access to the internet?

[Roxi]

AND WHY does it say AUG 6th? did i go into a 2 day coma or something?

[xita]

This is what we must base the post results on. The Pre-Polling puts Ron Paul at 2% + or - 5%. So the most this "scientific" poll allows for out of 30,000 straw poll voters is 2,100 votes.

We need to substantially better than 2100 votes in the straw poll to be able to say that these polls are all bullshit.

[nayjevin]

HAHAHAHA

7 percent say giuliani is most honest and trustworthy....

14 PERCENT WOULD VOTE FOR HIM

[Thomas_Paine]

Now this is the truth, if every American researched their candidate of choice via the internet it would a landslide!

[Thomas_Paine]

This is what we must base the post results on. The Pre-Polling puts Ron Paul at 2% + or - 5%. So the most this "scientific" poll allows for out of 30,000 straw poll voters is 2,100 votes.

We need to substantially better than 2100 votes in the straw poll to be able to say that these polls are all bullshit.

xita you are absolutely correct, BUT we need to make sure its a legitimate count as well, exit polling should DEFINITELY be done and by an independent over-seen source.

[fj45lvr]

This is where the "old" media is at its best since alot of folks are not "wired"....and unfortunately the media is going to marginalize....it is really sick that what you will most likely see is the bulk of the debate air time going to these supposed "front runners" which makes these kinds of things ridiculous....what they really need to have is something like a 2 week "crossfire"type SHOW where each candidate can face up man to man which allows them more than 30 seconds to address issues/ideas and let the non-wired public know more than almost nothing about them.....if the public thinks that ron paul is not the most honest and trustworthy then they just don't know Dr. Paul!! WE HAVE TO LET THEM KNOW!!

EVERY person has to share with their friends and so on so that they can tell their friends and this "grows"...when you read one of Dr. Paul's books you cannot help but see he stands tall above the rest of these politicians as recognizing where we have "gone astray" in our slide to the "police state" where nearly everything you do needs gov. permission.

[Sematary]

Interesting that only 28% of the people polled said they have visited a candidate website. Either Iowa really isn't very wired, or the polling population is very uninterested in researching the choices.

I'd be willing to bet that number is higher than the national average at this point.